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                 (Tia dives into the
                      stock market mechanics of the world prior to a
                      historic economic turning point. The introduction of the
                      Euro was taking place at the time and its possible
                      effects on the economies of the world was a
                      subject Tia had researched and knew a bit about.)
 
 
 Tia:
                                                okay, let us look at my
                                                favorite subject, the
                                                stock market. Again,
                                                another new high today,
                                                up 150 points.
 
 Russ:
                                                was it?
 
 Tia:
                                                uh-huh.
 
 Russ:
                                                it was down three when I
                                                saw it.
 
 Tia:
                                                ahhh, well news from Greenspan contributed
                                                to the increase as well
                                                as the better than
                                                expected profits from
                                                various companies this
                                                quarter. What's
                                                happening is
                                                much as I predicted
                                                right?
 
 Russ:
                                                uh-huh.
 
 Tia:
                                                the very, very rapid
                                                growth rate. This
                                                has contributed to the
                                                better-than-expected
                                                earnings,
                                                Greenspan's
                                                report on the state of
                                                the economy and his
                                                saying that eventually
                                                the interest rate will
                                                have to go up but at the
                                                moment there is no
                                                inflation which is a
                                                lie, there is inflation
                                                but it's only a little
                                                inflation. I see from
                                                this overconfidence.
                                                Where does the market go
                                                from where it is at the
                                                moment? There's only one
                                                place for it to go which
                                                is?
 
 Russ:
                                                up.
 
 Tia:
                                                exactly. There will be
                                                little downturns which
                                                are basically
                                                profit-taking so if it
                                                loses 1.5% of its
                                                profit, that's nothing.
 
 Russ:
                                                just a drop of 80 points?
 
 Tia:
                                          80 points, 150, that's
                                          nothing, that's peanuts. So
                                          there's nothing much to watch
                                          out for at this time apart
                                          from the continuing increase
                                          in the price of shares which
                                          in my opinion are very much
                                          overly priced. After all, from
                                          1994 to today, it's gone from
                                          3,000 to 8,000 which is a jump
                                          of 5,000 points. Very, very
                                          strange, very strange,
                                          shouldn't be doing that. And
                                          the fact that it took
                                          approximately 50 years to get
                                          to 3,000 and then a sudden
                                          increase as it has at present
                                          is quite concerning and there
                                          are people out there that are
                                          expressing their concerns. But
                                          let us not dwell on the stock
                                          market as that could take up
                                          too much time. Any questions?
 
 Russ: with the so far as
                                          they've been noticing the
                                          strength of the dollar's
                                          growing?
 
 Tia: it is?
 
 Russ: supposedly.
 
 Tia: in comparison to what,
                                          the yen?
 
 Russ: well as a comparison
                                          from what it was a while ago.
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: and with that it's
                                          making our trade deficit
                                          wider.
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: now how do you see that
                                          as affecting the basic economy
                                          from that point?
 
 Tia: well it's going to be
                                          more reliant on internal
                                          facts. The fact that the
                                          dollar can buy more now
                                          against most currencies means
                                          that importing American items
                                          let us say to Germany, means
                                          that it becomes more expensive
                                          whereas if Germany is
                                          exporting to the United
                                          States, their products become
                                          cheaper and so therefore it
                                          benefits the German economy.
                                          However, if you look
                                          externally at European
                                          markets, the question is why
                                          have they become shaky
                                          currencies? But it's primarily
                                          to do, if you look at the
                                          euro......let me readdress
                                          this matter a little. The euro
                                          is a new currency that will be
                                          coming into effect soon. The
                                          attitude of some governments
                                          is to let it decrease or their
                                          currencies decrease in value
                                          so that their populations are
                                          used to a different currency.
                                          When it comes, it's looked
                                          upon as a relief, "oh a new
                                          currency, our standards of
                                          living will go up." The euro,
                                          having started off on bad
                                          legs, will become a shaky
                                          currency like the Mexican lire
                                          or is it peso in Mexico?
 
 Russ: peso.
 
 Tia: the Mexican peso or the
                                          lire that are dodgy
                                          currencies. Not very strong
                                          and you can have a 1,000
                                          pesos, which is worth how much
                                          Russ?
 
 Russ: a 1,000 pesos is
                                          approximately $150.00.
 
 Tia: exactly, not very much at
                                          all. So that you have this
                                          shaky currency in an
                                          industrial area such as
                                          Europe, now what does that do?
 
 Russ: well it's going to
                                          destabilize the economies of
                                          those countries using it.
 
 Tia: correct.
 
 Russ: but now is the euro some
                                          kind of common......
 
 Tia: currency.
 
 Russ: currency that they've
                                          been working on for years?
 
 Tia: correct.
 
 Russ: so it's going to be
                                          valid in what countries?
 
 Tia: it's going to be valid in
                                          Greece, Italy, Belgium,
                                          Netherlands, Luxembourg,
                                          United Kingdom, Ireland,
                                          France, Spain, Sicily, Turkey.
 
 Russ: Greece?
 
 Tia: Greece.
 
 Russ: Russia?
 
 Tia: no.
 
 Russ: or are they going to
                                          hold with the ruble?
 
 Tia: Russia is not part of the
                                          EEC. It's all EEC countries
                                          that will be having one
                                          currency.
 
 Russ: so it's everything but
                                          Russia.
 
 Tia: no Poland's not a member
                                          of the EEC, not yet.
 
 Russ: I thought they got, they
                                          were looking for admission?
 
 Tia: yeah, they are.
 
 Russ: they haven't been
                                          approved yet?
 
 Tia: not yet. They're pretty
                                          close to being approved. You
                                          see what's happening is that
                                          by creating this one currency,
                                          you're destabilizing the
                                          economies.
 
 Russ: well isn't this the
                                          sign, one of the signs of the
                                          apocalypse?
 
 Tia: could be. Not by my
                                          predictions though.
 
 Russ: from the Bible.
 
 Tia: not from my
                                          predictions........from the
                                          Bible?
 
 Russ: uh-huh.
 
 Tia: yours or mine?
 
 Russ: ours.
 
 Tia: oh yours? I haven't read
                                          yours.
 
 Russ: yeah, it's one of the,
                                          apparently one of the signs.
 
 Tia: okay, my dissertation's
                                          over, do you have any
                                          questions for me young lady?
 
 Ann: no, not right now.
 
 Tia: okay,
                                          actually.......nevermind.
 
 
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