| 
              
                 (Tia describes the
                        working of the stock market in its simplest
                        terms as we explore what happens to an
                        investment once it is made. The explanation
                        covers the loss of money that can occur when a
                        company goes under.)
 
 
 Tia:
                                                  so, okay, where do I
                                                  start?
 
 Skip: I don’t know,
                                                  where do you want to
                                                  start tonight?
 
 Tia: where do you
                                                  think I should start
                                                  Russ?
 
 Russ: well I think you
                                                  should start with our
                                                  weird stock market
                                                  lately.
 
 Tia: yes, yes, yes,
                                                  weird stock market
                                                  hmmm, why is it doing
                                                  what it’s doing? Well
                                                  it’s fluctuating up
                                                  and down, up and down.
                                                  Now first of all point
                                                  of interest, there has
                                                  never been a crash in
                                                  the summer or the
                                                  spring, it always
                                                  happens in the fall or
                                                  early winter. To look
                                                  at why your stock
                                                  market is doing what
                                                  it’s doing is to look
                                                  at external
                                                  influences. For
                                                  example, let us look
                                                  in Asia. Well the
                                                  Japanese market is
                                                  doing some very
                                                  interesting things.
                                                  The actual one that’s
                                                  doing some very weird
                                                  dropping is the Hang
                                                  Seng in Hong Kong. I
                                                  seem to remember at
                                                  the start of the year
                                                  it was at around
                                                  10,000. At the moment
                                                  it is in the mid
                                                  7,000's. That is
                                                  approximately a
                                                  quarter of its value,
                                                  25%, history,
                                                  gone....poof. Of
                                                  course it was also
                                                  highly overvalued as
                                                  well. The Japanese
                                                  market is also doing
                                                  some wild
                                                  fluctuations. They’re
                                                  trying to enact
                                                  certain fiscal
                                                  problems……..enact
                                                  certain fiscal
                                                  policies to counter
                                                  fiscal problems which
                                                  can be traced right
                                                  back to the mid to
                                                  late '80s when they
                                                  went through their
                                                  phase of buying
                                                  everything, everything
                                                  and anything. Now
                                                  looking at those two
                                                  markets you can see a
                                                  certain effect
                                                  occurring because as
                                                  you track across the
                                                  globe from where the
                                                  Asian flu……..let’s
                                                  call it the Asian flu
                                                  as that seems to be a
                                                  good catchphrase and
                                                  one that I heard the
                                                  other day………the Asian
                                                  flu starts in Asia, it
                                                  is now affecting the
                                                  European markets and
                                                  from time to time your
                                                  market. Now if a
                                                  market can lose 25% of
                                                  its value in less than
                                                  seven months, what
                                                  does that hold for
                                                  your market that is
                                                  already lost……well
                                                  actually it gained
                                                  back some of its
                                                  loss………it had lost 10%
                                                  of its value, it’s now
                                                  9%? It’s only 15% to
                                                  go……well 16% to go
                                                  until it has lost a
                                                  quarter of its value
                                                  or a quarter of what
                                                  it has made which
                                                  would be about 2,500
                                                  points. It’s already
                                                  lost at one point 800
                                                  points on its value.
                                                  So what is going on?
                                                  Well, there is
                                                  numerous factors
                                                  contributing to this
                                                  problem, not least is
                                                  wild spending.
                                                  Investing in other
                                                  countries where the
                                                  currencies are shaky.
                                                  Now, the ruble in
                                                  Russia has been
                                                  devalued, symptom of
                                                  the Asian flu. The
                                                  fact that investors
                                                  rushed into the
                                                  Soviet……the former
                                                  Soviet Union after
                                                  there was problems in
                                                  Asia and pulled out
                                                  and they helped to
                                                  depress the markets in
                                                  Asia. In turn, they’re
                                                  now depressing the
                                                  markets in Eastern
                                                  Europe. It’s only a
                                                  matter of time before
                                                  they start to pull out
                                                  of markets in Europe.
                                                  Once this happens
                                                  there is only one
                                                  market left or one
                                                  major, major market
                                                  left that the
                                                  investors have left
                                                  go. My opinion is that
                                                  the market will climb
                                                  again. It won’t get up
                                                  to 9,300 mark where it
                                                  held its record but it
                                                  will climb again until
                                                  late in the autumn or
                                                  the fall. Then is the
                                                  time to watch, people
                                                  are already talking
                                                  about that the bull
                                                  market is turning to a
                                                  bear market, these
                                                  rumors are spreading.
                                                  Now, if there is signs
                                                  of inflation, the
                                                  Federal Reserve will
                                                  increase the interest
                                                  rate which will help
                                                  to depress the market
                                                  further. Okay, that’s
                                                  the market, that’s
                                                  what's happening from
                                                  Wall Street to Hades
                                                  Base. Okay, we got
                                                  questions.
 
 Russ: yeah, as far as
                                                  the market's
                                                  concerned….
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: if I put in a
                                                  thousand dollars in
                                                  the market, the market
                                                  drops by a point I
                                                  lose my thousand
                                                  dollars, where does
                                                  the thousand dollars
                                                  go?
 
 Tia: disappears.
 
 Russ: what do you mean
                                                  it disappears? How
                                                  does it disappear,
                                                  where does it go to?
                                                  Somebody’s got a
                                                  thousand dollars
                                                  right?
 
 Tia: no, it’s like if
                                                  you buy a car……let’s
                                                  say you buy a car
                                                  that’s worth a
                                                  thousand dollars.
 
 Russ: uh-huh.
 
 Tia: right? And
                                                  depreciation of that
                                                  car is one dollar a
                                                  day right? In a
                                                  thousand days that
                                                  means that that car is
                                                  worth nothing. Where
                                                  did your thousand
                                                  dollars go?
 
 Russ: well it went to
                                                  whoever wants to buy
                                                  it for a thousand
                                                  dollars.
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: if I can’t find
                                                  anybody who wants to
                                                  buy it for a thousand
                                                  dollars, then I can’t
                                                  quite sell it.
 
 Tia: that’s correct,
                                                  you can’t turn around
                                                  and sell it.
 
 Russ: but I still hold
                                                  onto that car, the car
                                                  is still there.
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: but if my stock
                                                  drops off the map…..
 
 Tia: you still have
                                                  the piece of paper.
 
 Russ: so the stock
                                                  comes back up again?
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Russ: then it’s worth
                                                  something.
 
 Tia: correct, unless
                                                  of course the company
                                                  that owns that stock
                                                  ceases to be. Next
                                                  question........anyone?
 
 Russ: I’m still trying
                                                  to grasp the concept
                                                  of stocks and losing
                                                  money like that.
 
 Skip: well you’re
                                                  invested into a
                                                  company and what you
                                                  get in return for your
                                                  investment is a piece
                                                  of paper that says you
                                                  invested so much
                                                  money.
 
 Russ: yeah the
                                                  company’s getting my
                                                  money.
 
 Skip: do what?
 
 Russ: did the company
                                                  get my money?
 
 Skip: no, well yeah
                                                  they do…..
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Skip: they do, yeah
                                                  you’re correct……..
 
 Tia: yes they do.
 
 Skip: they do get your
                                                  money but what happens
                                                  if…..let me see if I
                                                  can give you a for
                                                  example. Say I’m in
                                                  business and I set up
                                                  a stock exchange
                                                  invested into my
                                                  business.
 
 Russ: uh-huh.
 
 Skip: I get a hundred
                                                  people to invest a
                                                  thousand dollars,
                                                  that’s $100,000.
 
 Russ: uh-huh.
 
 Skip: my business goes
                                                  to the point of where
                                                  it’s costing me more
                                                  to operate it than I'm
                                                  making profit out of
                                                  it. My business goes
                                                  belly up and I go
                                                  bankrupt, the people
                                                  lose all their money.
                                                  They got the piece of
                                                  paper but they still
                                                  lose all their money.
 
 Russ: yeah, so the
                                                  money does go
                                                  somewhere, it goes to
                                                  the business.
 
 Tia: uh-huh.
 
 Skip: yeah.
 
 Russ: oh that’s okay.
 
 Skip: yeah but if the
                                                  business does not
                                                  profit then you do not
                                                  see any return on your
                                                  money.
 
 Russ: uh-huh.
 
 Tia: you’ve got to
                                                  remember that running
                                                  costs and everything
                                                  have to be taken out.
 
 Russ: oh.
 
 Tia: okay?
 
 Russ: okay.
 
 
 |